Thats according to the results of a new Honolulu Civil Beat/Hawaii News Now poll. Gabe Vasquez, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Mexicos Second Congressional District. likelihood, a Democratic will win in 2022. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans must win just 19 competitive seats to retake majority control from the Democrats. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. GOP starts boosting Walker in runoff amid calls to keep Trump away from Georgia, Maricopa County officials apologize for Arizona ballot reader issue, New Hampshires James Roesener is first trans man elected to a state legislature, Here are the Black candidates who made history on election night, Biden speaks with McCarthy as House control remains too early to call, So much relief: South Dakota voters pass Medicaid expansion, Counting in Nevada's Clark County continues after 56,900 mail ballots were received on Election Day, Eric Sorensen becomes first LGBTQ person elected to Congress from Illinois, Latino Republican voters are more progressive than white Republican voters on key issues, exit polls find, Alaska Senate race headed to ranked choice runoff, Schumer says Democrats are 'feeling good' about keeping majority after pundits 'missed it', Abortion rights advocates see a flurry of post-Roe victories in midterms. In addition to the 2012 N.R.A. Green would receive 55% of Democratic Primary votes if the election were held today, according to the results of the Honolulu Star-Advertisers Hawaii Poll. Officials have long struggled to get more people to vote in the state. Last edited on 17 February 2023, at 23:45, 2022 United States gubernatorial elections, Speaker of the Hawaii House of Representatives, running for Hawaii's 1st congressional district, State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, "Hawaii Governor: Josh Green Easily Defeats Duke Aiona", "Believe it or not, race to replace Gov. If youre Kirk Caldwell, its hard to imagine you dropping out of the race. I care about people. Mandela Barnes, delivering a critical victory for Republicans. See election results, maps, county-by-county vote counts and more for Hawaii's races on Aug. 13, 2022. . Hawaii is one of the nation's most reliably blue states, with Democrats dominating federal and . Read the full story with our Print & Digital Subscription. Jen Kiggans, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Virginias Second Congressional District. Honolulu, HI 96813 But Ms. Tokuda, who is backed by the Congressional Progressive Caucus, leads in polling. Alicia Parlapiano Senator Brian Schatz, a Democratic incumbent, is running for re-election and has no serious opposition in his primary. The support Ms. Tokuda received from outside groups which, in addition to the Congressional Progressive Caucus, included Representative Pramila Jayapals Medicare for All PAC was dwarfed by what Mr. Branco received, from organizations that included VoteVets, cryptocurrency groups and the centrist Mainstream Democrats. By 9 p.m., the polls will have closed in a majority of states. According to a new Civil. Indicates a polling average for this poll type. Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. These same counties favored Biden over Trump in 2020 by a margin of 8 percentage points a whopping 19-point swing. Design and development by Ryan Best, Aaron Bycoffe, Christopher Groskopf, Ritchie King, Ella Koeze, Dhrumil Mehta, Jasmine Mithani, Mary Radcliffe, Anna Wiederkehr and Julia Wolfe. , Senator Mark Kelly of Arizona, a Democrat, won a tough re-election campaign, beating Blake Masters, a Trump-backed venture capitalist. Maura Healey, the newly elected Democratic governor of Massachusetts is the first openly lesbian woman to be elected governor in the United States. For more information, visit cnn.com/election. . Josh Green adds to long list", "Endorsements stacking up for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race", "Lt. Gov. Mazie Hirono and Brian Schatz on their campaigns. In these midterms, New York is an unexpected battleground. , Susie Lee, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas Third Congressional District. A second batch of results is expected to be released three hours after polls close, at 10 p.m. local time on Saturday. , Gov. What we expect this year Read more , Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia, defeated his Democratic challenger, Stacey Abrams, for a second time. Civil Beat Politics and Opinion Editor Chad Blair said if Penn wins the nomination, his criminal record will be questioned. Lazaro Gamio But the seat is not considered competitive in November. Officials say the timing of results will depend on how many people return their ballots at the last minute on Election Day. To learn more about how election results work, read this article. GOP Rep. Rick Allen never faced a real threat to his reelection. In a statement to the Honolulu Star-Advertiser, Greens campaign said, Green is viewed as consistent and credible, winning high job approval and favorability ratings from voters who view him as the leader of the largest public health initiative in state history. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. John Duarte, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Californias 13th Congressional District. Nov. 9, 2022, Cortez Masto is behind in Nevada at the moment, but there are a lot of votes left in Clark and Washoe, counties home to the state's largest cities. The overwhelming support in the Hawaii Poll comes six months ahead of the primary election, when voters will have their first official say on which candidate should succeed Gov. Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. Greens theoretical vote tally dipped from 58% in January to 55% in July. Pennsylvanias Senate race now leans Democratic, according to our estimates. , Katie Porter, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 47th Congressional District. Runoff Elections. To learn more about how election results work, read this article. He holds a large lead in public polling. Hawaii Government Employees Association (HGEA), Hawaii State American Federation of Labor & Congress of Industrial Organizations, International Brotherhood of Electrical Workers Locals 1186, 1260 and 1357, International Longshore and Warehouse Union Local 142, University of Hawaii Professional Assembly (UHPA), Daniel H. Cunningham, independent candidate for governor in, Sherry Menor-McNamara, president and CEO of, Sam Puletasi, candidate for lieutenant governor in. Josh Green, the leading candidate so far to become Hawaii's next governor, has a commanding 65% overall approval rating among Hawaii voters and an even more impressive 70% approval . Pre-registration is available beginning at age 16. Officials can start processing and tabulating ballots up to 18 days before Election Day (ballots were mailed out in late July, and early, in-person voting was also available), but no results are released until the last person in line at a polling place has voted. The filing deadline was June 7, 2022. Mr. Schatz, as the states lieutenant governor, was a rising political star in Hawaii when he was appointed to the Senate. While 79% of Democrats say they approve of Greens overall performance, so do 52% of Republicans and 57% of independent poll participants. All in all, he did really well. endorsement, pro-Branco ads attacked Ms. Tokuda for opposing a 2015 bill that would have banned pesticide spraying around Hawaii schools. The expected vote is the total number of votes that are expected in a given race once all votes are counted. Josh Green high approval ratings and overwhelmingly said they will vote for him in his run to become Hawaiis next governor. One of Mr. Greens campaign ads this year highlighted the fact that Hawaiis Covid infection rates have been among the lowest in the country, though they have still been devastating, particularly in Native Hawaiian communities. #HIGov #Hileg", "Kauai Mayor Derek Kawakami endorses Kirk Caldwell in governor's race", "U.S. Rep. Kai Kahele gets key union backing, Lt. Gov. , Adrian Fontes, a Democrat, defeated Mark Finchem, a G.O.P. Lazaro Gamio Nov. 9, 2022, While the race for Georgias senate seat remains extremely tight, the Governors race was decided last night. Ron DeSantis, a hard-right conservative, is facing Representative Charlie Crist, a former Republican governor who switched parties. Nov. 2, 2022, at 12:30 p.m. Hawaii: What to Expect on Election Night. Senator Brian Schatz of Hawaii is on the ballot in the Democratic primary, facing only a nominal challenger as he seeks re-election in the deep-blue state. Brian Kemp gained more votes compared to Trump in 2020 all across Georgia, beating Stacey Abrams by a more than seven-point margin. Behind every great man is a great woman.. Alicia Parlapiano But with turnout typically much lower in primary elections and in midterm cycles, that delay was not expected this year. . See full results and maps from the Hawaii primary elections. On the Republican side, former Lt. Gov. Andrew Fischer 4 year term beginning noon on first Monday in December following election. , Brandon Williams, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 22nd Congressional District. She is expected to win easily in November against Joe Akana, the winner of the Republican primary, for the seat being vacated by Representative Kai Kahele, a Democrat who opted to run for governor but lost. 99% Est. Montana voters rejected a proposal that would have required medical interventions to save those that the state defines as born alive infants. Ruth Igielnik Withdrawn or disqualified candidates Duke Aiona has 27% of the vote while MMA champion BJ Penn is at 24%. (D) Josh Green. Sections. Republican Kevin Kiley is an odds-on favorite to win this new open seat. Do Americans Have A Favorable Opinion Of Donald Trump? Only two Republicans have been elected governor, and Linda Lingle was the only one to be re-elected, in 2006. Josh Green Is Racking Up Union Endorsements, Adding To His Momentum", "Editorial: For governor's race, it's Josh Green and Duke Aiona", "Congressman Kaialii Kahele makes official announcement of run for Hawaii Governor", "August 13, 2022 Primary Election - Statewide Summary", "Hawaii Rep. Sylvia Luke Plans To Run For Lieutenant Governor", "State Rep. Sylvia Luke announces run for lieutenant governor", "Keith Amemiya joins race for lieutenant governor", "Ikaika Anderson Launches Campaign for Hawaii Lt. While the three majority-Hispanic counties Hendry, Miami-Dade and Osceola shifted the most, Latino turnout tends to drop more in the midterms compared with other groups. NYT Graphics Beto ORourke performed better than expected in these majority-Hispanic counties. After its voters turned out at the lowest rate of any state about 39 percent in the 2018 general election, lawmakers switched the state to universal mail voting. But his campaign suffered after he decided to rely on Hawaiis public funding system and then failed to file a document required to receive the money. The rule that primary elections would be held on Saturdays was first written into state law in 1970. This goes back to polling place elections when typically schools were used as polling places and would be available on Election Day, Ms. Bueno said. The poll results were not a surprise as we know we have not been campaigning as the other candidates have, and at this point, we are pleased with our favorability ratings. Most of the vote reporting so far is early, and Democrats are expected to win those votes by a large margin. To register to vote in Hawaii, one must be a United States citizen, a resident of the state, and at least 18 years old. , Marc Molinaro, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 19th Congressional District. Asked for a comment about his numbers, Kahele told the Star- Advertiser in a terse email: (My) official comment is: Why dont you ask Andy Winer?. By The Associated Press. Print subscriber but without online access? Republicans have flipped four House seats in New York, two districts on Long Island and two in the Hudson Valley. , Gov. Who's ahead in the Hawaii governor race? Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state who has confronted repeated harassment from far-right election deniers, won re-election to her post in Michigan. Republicans would need just two tossup seats beyond what they are favored to win. Fishermen find remains of missing man inside shark, Man arrested after search warrant executed at Waikiki cannabis kiosk, SD Senate committee defeats petition signature requirement bill, Two bills aimed at protecting landowners from over-intrusion by carbon pipeline builders died today in a senate committee, SD Republican lawmakers want to expand school choice, 'The Other Side of Paradise' with Lynn Kawano, KHNLPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KGMBPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KFVEPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KSIXPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246, KOGGPUBLICFILE@HAWAIINEWSNOW.COM (808) 847-3246. . . David Ige. Winer previously served as Hawaii director for Barack Obamas presidential campaign and has helped U.S. Sens. Our internal poll numbers show our base of support is growing, and we will continue to work hard at getting our message out , she said. One of the tightest governors races in the country is between Gov. Greens support was most pronounced among Hawaii voters 50 and up some 54% of whom said they supported him. Guam and the Virgin Islands two territories that elect nonvoting delegates to Washington have also traditionally held their primary elections on Saturdays. Hawaii Governor: Lt. Gov. But the main focus of the Democratic primary was housing. Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California. The Hawaii Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C., from July 12 to 17. Compared to Kemps reported votes, Walkers fell short in every county, but especially in the Atlanta area and its suburbs. The Congressional Progressive Caucus endorsed her in June, saying in a statement at the time, In Hawaii, Jill has led on affordable housing, education, womens reproductive freedom and gun violence prevention, and shell do the same in Congress.. He will face the Republican nominee, Duke Aiona, in November; the winner then will succeed Gov. Colorados Third District is leaning toward Lauren Boebert, an ardent supporter of Donald Trump, according to our estimates. John Fetterman, a Democrat, and Dr. Mehmet Oz, a Republican. Maggie Astor Mr. Kahele, a first-term congressman and former state senator, focused more on campaign finance and governance issues than on housing, arguing that reforms like banning corporate campaign contributions and imposing term limits for elected officials would break the barriers that keep average voters from steering our state government.. Hawaii amended its law in 2010, moving Primary Day to August from September in order to comply with a federal law mandating that members of the military receive ballots at least 45 days before federal elections. The New York Timess results team is a group of graphics editors, engineers and reporters who build and maintain software to publish election results in real-time as they are reported by results providers. and Pa., competitive state races with consequences for abortion remain too close to call. Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. Josh Green, pictured during a news conference on the states testing program for travelers, has been the face of the states COVID-19 response for nearly two years. , Abigail Spanberger, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Virginias Seventh Congressional District. Vance, the author and venture capitalist who is endorsed by Donald Trump, is competing with Representative Tim Ryan, a Democrat. He had previously served as chairman of the states Democratic Party and from 1996 to 2002, he represented parts of Oahu, where he grew up, as a state lawmaker. The polls overall margin for error is plus or minus 3.5 percentage points, but questions asked of only Democrat or Republican primary voters had larger margins of error. Nov. 8, 2022, Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. Incumbent Democratic Governor David Ige was term-limited and ineligible to run for a third term. Hawaii Governor - 2018: Ige (D) +29.0 | 2014: Ige (D) +12.4 Senate Polls | Governor Polls | Generic Congressional Ballot | State of the Union Polls | Latest Election Polls Senator from Virginia Tim Kaine. Janet Mills of Maine. Nov. 10, 2022, As of noon Eastern time, Democrats have won 190 House seats, Republicans have won 208, and 37 are still undecided. The Democrats need to win roughly twice as many of the most competitive districts as Republicans to keep control of the House. Michiganders are voting on abortion rights. It could be awhile before all votes are counted. The outcomes of the races in these three states will decide the balance of power in the Senate. Maggie Astor There are also two other Democrats running to be LG Daniel. Nevadas Senate race is rated a tossup by the Cook Political Report. Vance, a Republican and the Hillbilly Elegy author, is very likely to win Ohios Senate race, according to our estimates. Cayetano communications director Lynne Waters wrote in a statement that, Much has transpired since the interviews for this poll were conducted, notably the recent series of televised debates. Mr. Green defeated six other Democrats, including Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. In third place is City Councilwoman Heidi Tsuneyoshi at 9%. , Matt Cartwright, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Eighth Congressional District. , Yadira Caraveo, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Colorados Eighth Congressional District. Ron DeSantis over Democratic opponent Charlie Crist by a margin of 11 percentage points. . Democratic Rep. Sanford Bishop is still favored for reelection, but GOP Gov. The polls are now closed in Georgia, South Carolina, Virginia and Vermont, and in parts of Florida and New Hampshire. Incumbent David Ige defeated Andria Tupola, Jim Brewer, and Terrence Teruya in the general election for Governor of Hawaii on November 6, 2018. Honolulu City Council member Heidi Tsuneyoshi trailed with 9%. Nov. 9, 2022, The Senate races in Georgia, Nevada and Arizona are very tight, and vote counting is expected to drag into the week. The remaining vote there could tighten the race as it is counted. Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens survived a member-versus-member primary in August likely the biggest obstacle to her reelection. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Hawaii held an election for governor and lieutenant governor on November 8, 2022. . Nov. 8, 2022, In Washington State, Senator Patty Murray is facing a strong Republican challenge, though she remains favored to win. Representative Kai Kahele, Lt. Gov. Democratic Primary Winner Josh Green wins the Democratic. votes. We rated every race in play in 2022. Theres a crowded Republican field, too, which includes former Lt. Gov. In North Carolinas Senate race, Representative Ted Budd, a Trump-endorsed Republican, is very likely to win, according to our estimates. Tony Evers won a second term as governor of Wisconsin, giving Democrats a foothold in a critical presidential battleground. Contact Steve at [emailprotected]. Hes still very popular.. See the rest of our predictions. Greens high numbers are similar to the January Hawaii Poll that was conducted before Kahele gave up his congressional reelection bid to instead announce his gubernatorial candidacy in May. August 10, 2024. He would have to offend a lot of voters who already say they support him. Log in now to continue reading this story. New York's 26th District. , David Valadao, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Californias 22nd Congressional District. He's happy to chat about weather forecasting too. Lt. Gov. The figure can change as NBC News gathers new information. Hes a great guy, they said.. We'll always be transparent about why we're making a certain rating. John Fetterman defeated the celebrity TV host Dr. Mehmet Oz, flipping Pennsylvanias Senate seat to the Democrats. Democrats overwhelmingly approve (83%), as do independents (68%), but Republicans (47%) are not as enthusiastic. . And probably, he determined that all he has to do is get 35 to 40% of the vote or less in order to win this nomination.. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. Read more about the methodology. If Republicans win all of the races where they are currently leading by two points or more, theyll take control of the House. However the state already bans abortions, and that is unlikely to change. In response to a questionnaire from The Honolulu Star-Advertiser, she emphasized the need for more federal funding for health care, education and housing in rural communities. We use polling where appropriate, but we always factor in our understanding of the pollster's quality. Nov. 8, 2022, The Georgia Senate race, which could go to a Dec. 6 runoff, could determine which party controls the chamber. Josh Green and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of the state, are among the seven Democrats vying to succeed Gov. Heres how it works Josh Green Wins Big In Democratic Primary By Kevin Dayton / August 13, 2022 Green will face Republican former Lt. Gov. Get live estimates for Senate and House control with our real-time election forecast, which analyzes the results so far to show who is on track to win. His approval ratings are much wider, but still dominant, among ethnic groups: 77% from Japanese; 71% from Hawaiians; 62% from Mixed/Other; and 58% from whites. Updated Aug. 16, 2022, 2:48 PM ET. Voters will pick their candidates to replace Gov. Nov. 8, 2022, Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. Green reported $1,125,877 in cash on hand as of Dec. 31. Taking control of the governorship and both legislative chambers in these states could ease Democrats ability to pass legislation on an array of issues. Midterms: Josh Green, Hawaiis Second-in-Command, Is Democrats. The cash on hand is significant in that it allows me to reach out to voters statewide on the very serious issues facing Hawaii. Josh Green, Representative Kai Kahele and Vicky Cayetano, a former first lady of Hawaii. The leading candidates in the Democratic primary the main attraction given the districts partisan tilt are Jill Tokuda, a former state senator, and Patrick Branco, a state representative. The Timess election results pages are produced by Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Neil Berg, Matthew Bloch, Vronique Brossier, Sean Catangui, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Asmaa Elkeurti, Tiffany Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Will Houp, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. Lee, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Jaymin Patel, Rachel Shorey, Charlie Smart, Umi Syam, Urvashi Uberoy, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. #7-500 The polls are now closed in Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Wisconsin and several other states. Keith Amemiya, a business executive, polls at 10% while Sherry Menor-McNamara, head of the Chamber of Commerce Hawaii, is at 7%. were perhaps the biggest issue in the race, a questionnaire from The Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. Kathy Hochul claimed victory late Tuesday against Representative Lee Zeldin, a conservative Republican. Chris Deluzio, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Pennsylvanias 17th Congressional District. Voters can still cast a ballot in person in the primary election on Saturday, if that is their preference, but most are expected to vote by mail. Races to watch include those in the 17th, 18th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts, as well as the contest for governor. State polling averages are adjusted based on national trends, which means candidates averages can shift even in the absence of fresh state polls. The Associated Press has not yet called the race. The only poll that matters is on Election Day.. In Indiana, a House race in the 1st district leans Democratic, but, if the seat were to flip, it could be an early sign of a red wave. , David Schweikert, Republican, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Arizonas First Congressional District. A primary election is an election in which registered voters select a candidate that they believe should be a political party's candidate for elected office to run in the general election. Sergio Alcubilla, attorney and former director of external relations, Tommy Waters, Honolulu city councilmember and chair, Hawaii Regional Council of Carpenters (HRCC), Japanese Chamber of Commerce and Industry of Hawaii, United Public Workers, AFSCME, Local 646, AFL-CIO, General Contractors Association of Hawaii, Lynn Barry Mariano, retired Army Officer and Civil Servant, Paul Morgan, business consultant and former member of the, Peter Savio, businessperson and real estate developer, State of Hawaii Organization of Police Officers, police union, This page was last edited on 17 February 2023, at 23:45. For the 133 responses for the Republican primary, the margin of error was 8.7 percentage points. The Associated Press has not called New Yorks race for governor but Gov. I cant recall anyone having numbers this high, said Colin Moore, director of the University of Hawaiis Public Policy Center. . The Timess election results pages are produced by Michael Andre, Aliza Aufrichtig, Kristen Bayrakdarian, Neil Berg, Matthew Bloch, Vronique Brossier, Irineo Cabreros, Sean Catangui, Andrew Chavez, Nate Cohn, Lindsey Rogers Cook, Alastair Coote, Annie Daniel, Saurabh Datar, Avery Dews, Asmaa Elkeurti, Tiffany Fehr, Andrew Fischer, Lazaro Gamio, Martn Gonzlez Gmez, Will Houp, Jon Huang, Samuel Jacoby, Jason Kao, Josh Katz, Aaron Krolik, Jasmine C. Lee, Vivian Li, Rebecca Lieberman, Ilana Marcus, Alicia Parlapiano, Jaymin Patel, Marcus Payadue, Matt Ruby, Rachel Shorey, Charlie Smart, Umi Syam, Jaime Tanner, James Thomas, Urvashi Uberoy, Ege Uz, Isaac White and Christine Zhang. This race is Solid Democratic, meaning that in all Thats not what Kirk Caldwell does, Milner said. Mr. Green, 52, a former state legislator and an emergency room doctor, was elected lieutenant governor in 2018. Jason Kao time focusing on competitive contests. 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